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Game Day Essentials: Game #16 vs Northwestern

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Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-5) vs Northwestern Wildcats (10-5)

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Date: Tuesday Jan 2, 2018

Time: 8 pm CST 
Arena: Allstate Arena (Rosemead, IL)

TV Broadcast:  BTN

Nothwestern Info

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Head Coach: Chris Collins
Location: Evansville, IL
Conference: B1G
Nickname: Wildcats

Mascot: Willie the Wildcat
Last time out: Beat Brown
Typical Rotation Depth: 9
Line: NW by 8.5

Arena: Welsh-Ryan Arena is undergoing a complete reconstruction and all games are being played 45 minutes away from campus at All-State Arena in Rose

Tempo: Slow

Defense: Man

Style: High assist % / High 3pa%

4 Factors Good: Doesn't turn the ball over, protect the defensive boards
4 Factors Bad: Putting teams on the line

Four Factors
Effective FG%: 52.1 124 51.4 200 50.8
Turnover %: 17.1 59 21.5 61 19.1
Off. Reb. %: 27.5 223 24.5 32 29.2
FTA/FGA: 33.7 183 41.8 300 33.9

 

Most Frequent Lineups over the last 5 games

 

Nebraska

PG SG SF PF C Pct
1
5 Glynn Watson
6-0  173  Jr
11 Evan Taylor
6-5  208  Sr
24 James Palmer
6-6  210  Jr
14 Isaac Copeland
6-9  221  Jr
32 Jordy Tshimanga
6-11  268  So
13.8

 

Northestern

PG SG SF PF C Pct
             
3
23 Jordan Ash
6-3  200  Jr
20 Scottie Lindsey
6-5  210  Sr
4 Vic Law
6-7  200  Jr
44 Gavin Skelly
6-8  235  Sr
5 Dererk Pardon
6-8  235  Jr
5.6
 

 

Here is the most likely starting lineup with Bryant McIntotsh probably out for this game.  Ash had been starting for the injured Vic Law and it looks like Collins is comfortable playing him at the point.  Ash hasn't shown a lot of scoring punch nor setting up his teammates; his biggest attribute is not turning over the ball. Isiah Brown will also be in the mix and provides a bit more scoring punch though is turnover prone. Freshman Anthony Gaines should also see minutes

 

Players to watch: Dererk Pardon

Pardon famously played his first full game against Nebraska two years ago dropping a still career high 28 points. He followed that up last year with a 22 rebound game and Pardon is 4-0 vs Nebraska.

 

The Skinny

It's not quite the hangover that Nebraska had coming off their tournament but this Northwestern team the brought most everyone back hasn't been quite as good.  While the schedule has been tougher, Northwestern's defense has been off and this year's close games have turned into a few losses. In Northwestern's first game without McIntosh since 2014 in their temporary home where there should be little crowd factor, Nebraska has a real chance to show themselves as the team we all hope they are.

 

It's tempting to look at what Northwestern is giving up from 3 and attack from outside but what really stands out is the amount that Northwestern is putting teams on the line, especially if McIntosh isn't playing. Defensively Northwestern had been a problem with their 3pt shooting but the Huskers have sold out stopping the 3 at the expense up giving up some easy buckets inside. How much double teaming and switching will Nebraska do against a team that will eat you alive with passes to open players? Who is capable of guarding Pardon 1-on-1?

 

Nebraska catches a sleeping Northwestern tonight

 

Prediction: Nebraska 74 - Northwestern 70


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In addition to what Dimes wrote, I saw this opinion from a poster who lives in Ill.

 


"This is a winnable game against an inconsistent, injury-rattled Northwestern squad, in what also amounts to a neutral site game. While NW's stadium is being remodeled this season, NW is playing miles away at All State Arena. Expect a weak crowd and no home court advantage."

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I spoke against a "must win" analysis a few weeks back before one of our games. I'd call this a must win. We have to pick up some road wins and this one is just sitting there waiting for us with McIntosh out.

 

I get that we can always pull out the "but we put together a late run in 2014" card, but that just doesn't happen very often. We have to win the opportunities presented now.

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I think it's a must win if the Huskers want any momentum going into the heart of the conference schedule.  They do have other potential road victories in Penn State, Rutgers, Wisconsin and Illinois.  But this team can also lose games at PBA they have no business losing  So, if they don't get a dub tonight, chances are (overrated as a restaurant ;)), they struggle to get on the bubble and Bill Moos is hiring a basketball coach.  So it's probably a must win.  Get the job done, men.  GBR!

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