Jump to content
TimSmiles

Expectations for the next 5 games?

Recommended Posts

i'm aware he's already on the hot seat, but no quality wins going into january and moos will likely start looking around.

 

and ucf could be looked at as a bad loss depending how they finish the season.

Edited by TimSmiles

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 minutes ago, TimSmiles said:

i'm aware he's already on the hot seat, but no quality wins going into january and moos will likely start looking around.

 

and ucf could be looked at as a bad loss depending how they finish the season.

 

UCF actually plays in a decent conference and will have plenty of chances to prove itself through the year.  While I hated losing that one, it shouldn't be too bad in the end.  Probably a loss to a team that will end between 100-150 RPI wise.  St. Johns will probably be in this boat as well.  So while they are not great losses, they are not bad losses either.  Losing to either of those teams at home would be a little worse.  

 

After looking, St. Johns should be about 11-3 when it plays @ Creighton in January.

Edited by hskr4life

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I sort of wanted to revisit this, because I believe I personally was trying to make myself feel better and lower expectations.  So, okay, we beat BC and WE SHOULD have beaten them.  We had better talent, better depth and we were playing on our home court.  I mentioned in a different thread that it was a game we should have won by five to ten points, and we did.  I am disappointed in myself.  We should have won that game by fifteen to twenty.  We sort of stunk it up the last two minutes.  That is unacceptable.  Our offense relied on 3 point shots in the first half, similar to when we were at St. John's.  We made the shots last night, but when we miss them, P-WHEW.  We had the same issue in the second half, but that goodness we sort of found a grove after the first ten minutes or so.  We have to improve our offensive movement and production.  We were lucky to make 50% of our free throws.  That is unacceptable.  BC lost one of their best players in the first half...did it help us, I don't think so.  We never trailed, but then again, we never put the flippin game away.  That is disappointing.  So we won, and perhaps in years past we would have lost; so the good news is that we can build on that win and improve exponentially.

 

So now we move on to MSU.  Can we win that game.  Absolutely!  Why not shoot for the stars and put a full game together.  MSU is good.  In fact, they may even be great.  But for us to aspire to make it to the next level, we damn well need to win games like this. 

 

We then move on to Minnesota.  Absolutely winnable.  We simply cannot take a step backwards.  We want to change our image, we want to make it to the dance and win at the dance...well, then we need to take care of our home court and win these games.

 

Same for Kansas and same for Creighton. 

 

Sure we want to be competitive.  That will make us feel good --- right???  Screw that, I do not want to play these games close, I want to move forward, I want to win.  Let's start the move forward, let's start providing some shock and awe!!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, hhcdimes said:

I'm not sure Michigan St will lose another regular season game

 

55 minutes ago, hhcdimes said:

We need to beat Kansas and Creighton for the pride of the conference. LEEROY JENKINS!

 

 

I'm not sure Kansas will lose another regular season game, either.

 

Sat Dec 2   53 Syracuse W, 76-65 68 83% Neutral     b.gif
Wed Dec 6   141 Washington W, 91-69 75 98% Semi-Home      
Sun Dec 10   57 Arizona St. W, 90-75 74 92% Home     b.gif
Sat Dec 16   104 Nebraska W, 80-67 71 87% Away     b.gif
Mon Dec 18   251 Nebraska Omaha W, 97-66 76 99.7% Home      
Thu Dec 21   94 Stanford W, 85-69 74 93% Neutral     b.gif
Fri Dec 29   28 Texas W, 74-70 71 64% Away   × a.gif
Tue Jan 2   19 Texas Tech W, 78-69 71 79% Home   × a.gif
Sat Jan 6   24 TCU W, 79-75 73 63% Away   × a.gif
Tue Jan 9   59 Iowa St. W, 84-68 72 92% Home   × b.gif
Sat Jan 13   43 Kansas St. W, 78-66 69 87% Home   × b.gif
Mon Jan 15   13 West Virginia W, 81-79 77 55% Away   × a.gif
Sat Jan 20   22 Baylor W, 75-65 67 81% Home   × a.gif
Tue Jan 23   26 Oklahoma W, 83-79 77 65% Away   × a.gif
Sat Jan 27   7 Texas A&M W, 76-71 71 70% Home     a.gif
Mon Jan 29   43 Kansas St. W, 75-69 69 70% Away   × a.gif
Sat Feb 3   49 Oklahoma St. W, 83-69 72 90% Home   × b.gif
Tue Feb 6   24 TCU W, 82-72 73 83% Home   × b.gif
Sat Feb 10   22 Baylor W, 71-69 67 60% Away   × a.gif
Tue Feb 13   59 Iowa St. W, 80-72 72 78% Away   × a.gif
Sat Feb 17   13 West Virginia W, 84-76 77 78% Home   × a.gif
Mon Feb 19   26 Oklahoma W, 87-75 77 85% Home   × b.gif
Sat Feb 24   19 Texas Tech W, 75-73 71 57% Away   × a.gif
Mon Feb 26   28 Texas W, 77-66 71 84% Home   × b.gif
Sat Mar 3   49 Oklahoma St. W, 79-72 72 73% Away   × a.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, 49r said:

 

 

 

I'm not sure Kansas will lose another regular season game, either.

 

Sat Dec 2   53 Syracuse W, 76-65 68 83% Neutral     b.gif
Wed Dec 6   141 Washington W, 91-69 75 98% Semi-Home      
Sun Dec 10   57 Arizona St. W, 90-75 74 92% Home     b.gif
Sat Dec 16   104 Nebraska W, 80-67 71 87% Away     b.gif
Mon Dec 18   251 Nebraska Omaha W, 97-66 76 99.7% Home      
Thu Dec 21   94 Stanford W, 85-69 74 93% Neutral     b.gif
Fri Dec 29   28 Texas W, 74-70 71 64% Away   × a.gif
Tue Jan 2   19 Texas Tech W, 78-69 71 79% Home   × a.gif
Sat Jan 6   24 TCU W, 79-75 73 63% Away   × a.gif
Tue Jan 9   59 Iowa St. W, 84-68 72 92% Home   × b.gif
Sat Jan 13   43 Kansas St. W, 78-66 69 87% Home   × b.gif
Mon Jan 15   13 West Virginia W, 81-79 77 55% Away   × a.gif
Sat Jan 20   22 Baylor W, 75-65 67 81% Home   × a.gif
Tue Jan 23   26 Oklahoma W, 83-79 77 65% Away   × a.gif
Sat Jan 27   7 Texas A&M W, 76-71 71 70% Home     a.gif
Mon Jan 29   43 Kansas St. W, 75-69 69 70% Away   × a.gif
Sat Feb 3   49 Oklahoma St. W, 83-69 72 90% Home   × b.gif
Tue Feb 6   24 TCU W, 82-72 73 83% Home   × b.gif
Sat Feb 10   22 Baylor W, 71-69 67 60% Away   × a.gif
Tue Feb 13   59 Iowa St. W, 80-72 72 78% Away   × a.gif
Sat Feb 17   13 West Virginia W, 84-76 77 78% Home   × a.gif
Mon Feb 19   26 Oklahoma W, 87-75 77 85% Home   × b.gif
Sat Feb 24   19 Texas Tech W, 75-73 71 57% Away   × a.gif
Mon Feb 26   28 Texas W, 77-66 71 84% Home   × b.gif
Sat Mar 3   49 Oklahoma St. W, 79-72 72 73% Away   × a.gif

Are you being sarcastic? There are plenty of losable games on there for Kansas. In fact, if you assume that those winning probabilities are independent of each other, the probability of winning out is 0.2% (99.8% of not winning out).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 minutes ago, HuskerActuary said:

Are you being sarcastic? There are plenty of losable games on there for Kansas. In fact, if you assume that those winning probabilities are independent of each other, the probability of winning out is 0.2% (99.8% of not winning out).

 

Not sarcastic as much as making a point that they are also really...REALLY good and are clowning everyone they play right now.  I believe their average margin of victory so far is something like 35 points.

 

They just beat Oakland (who is ranked about 15 spots behind us in KenPom) by 43.

Edited by 49r

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looking at our remaining schedule with us being 6-2 now and potentially being 6-6 soon... we can still end this season with 18,19,20 wins if we win games that we should and can win the close ones against other midlevel big ten teams... OSU, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, etc. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

assuming roby is healthy which i think he will be, i'd like to believe this team can win at least 1 ranked game out of 4 tries. i feel like we are on the same level as Creighton and Minn in terms of talent. KU and mich st are obviously elite, but i still think we have a chance to beat them if we play our best game.

Edited by TimSmiles

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

NEXT FIVE:

Currently 2-1

 

W - BC (unranked)

 L- MSU (#3)

W - Minnesota (was #12 before the BC game; #14 when we played them)

? - Creighton (was #25 before the BC game; now unranked)

? - Kansas (was #2 before the BC game; now #2)

 

Not such a bad start, huh?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
55 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

NEXT FIVE:

Currently 2-1

 

W - BC (unranked)

 L- MSU (#3)

W - Minnesota (was #12 before the BC game; #14 when we played them)

? - Creighton (was #25 before the BC game; now unranked)

? - Kansas (was #2 before the BC game; now #2)

 

Not such a bad start, huh?

 

Not a bad start, but this was the absolute best case scenario going in.  2-3.  Win either of the next two and we've FAR exceeded any kind of realistic expectations.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 hours ago, 49r said:

 

Not a bad start, but this was the absolute best case scenario going in.  2-3.  Win either of the next two and we've FAR exceeded any kind of realistic expectations.

Well, no, it wasn't the absolute best case scenario. The current best case scenario is 4-1. It's probably not realistic, but it is the best case scenario.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×