hhcmatt Posted November 15, 2017 Report Share Posted November 15, 2017 Just as a refresher in statistics as a method of showing and predicting success ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ There are what is called the "4 factors" and they're made up of eFG%, offReb%, TO%, and FTA/FGA. This is the way to quantify how teams win/lose by how they shoot, how many "extra" possessions they can gain to take those shots, how many possessions will end in a shot attempt instead of a turnover, and how often you can add to your point total with FTs. Here is Nebraska's at the moment We're getting to the FT line, we're not shooting well, etc....it does a pretty bang up job of encapsulating what we've done over the first two games relative to other teams. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Now that we've set the table, here are a couple of articles on something John Gasaway calls Shot Volume Index. https://johngasaway.com/2017/11/15/peer-performance-pressure-and-the-limits-of-coaching-theory/ https://johngasaway.com/2017/03/15/these-are-the-teams-that-can-generate-shots/ The overarching point is to think of Turnover% and Off Reb% not as some sort of individual items with numbers you need to hit but as an individual pieces in how you get more shot attempts. Thus, a team like Michigan who didn't turn the ball over but punted on offensive rebounds generates the amount of extra shots that a team like Oklahoma St did by crashing the offensive boards but not taking care of the ball. Also, last year Virginia Tech was the best shooting team in the conference; however with their poor turnover rate and lack of offensive rebounds their limited possessions had them as the 7th best offense in the conference. I don't know that these numbers are really available anywhere. (Maybe at ESPN Insider where Gasaway works) Overall, I found it helpful when looking at advanced metrics to not overfocus on a poor rebound or turnover rate. Red Don, Vinny and AuroranHusker 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vinny Posted November 15, 2017 Report Share Posted November 15, 2017 Thanks or posting this, I really enjoy all the stats and metrics out there as a way of evaluating a team. Just so I understand a bit better, the first column is our offense, the second column is our defense, what is the third column? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdostal Posted November 15, 2017 Report Share Posted November 15, 2017 D1 averages. hhcmatt 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhcmatt Posted November 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted November 15, 2017 59 minutes ago, Vinny said: Thanks or posting this, I really enjoy all the stats and metrics out there as a way of evaluating a team. Just so I understand a bit better, the first column is our offense, the second column is our defense, what is the third column? Yup, D1 average. If you want to see a free version of a lot of the KenPom stuff, check out http://www.barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska The site is a little hard to understand and a little underexplained, but a lot of different views on there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vinny Posted November 15, 2017 Report Share Posted November 15, 2017 52 minutes ago, hhcdimes said: Yup, D1 average. If you want to see a free version of a lot of the KenPom stuff, check out http://www.barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska The site is a little hard to understand and a little underexplained, but a lot of different views on there. Thanks, book marked that page after a Norm post a while back and will certainly be following it throughout the season. Just couldn't find what that third column meant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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